Abstract
This article analyzes the Chilean labor market dynamics across different periods of economic growth. The evidence shows that the unemployment rate and job creation exhibit a marked synchrony with real GDP growth. Specifically, the unemployment rate falls and job creation accelerates in periods of strong economic growth. Moreover, the impact of growth on these labor market variables seems to be more pronounced in the case of young workers than for male and female workers. Regarding the quality of jobs, the evidence shows that a strong economic growth increases the participation of dependent jobs created in the private sectors but decreases self-employment. The former type of jobs exhibits higher wages and a stronger attachment to the social security and healthcare systems. Lastly, we show that, beyond the cyclical fluctuations of GDP, long-term economic growth has steadily increased female labor force participation. We provide a tentative explanation to understand this latter phenomenon.
Full text article
References
Barro, R. and J.W. Lee (2016). “Educational Attainment Dataset.” Available at http: //www.barrolee.com.
Becker, G., W.H.J. Hubbard, and K.M. Murphy (2010). “Explaining the Worldwide Boom in Higher Education of Women.” Journal of Human Capital 4(3): 203–41.
Becker, G. and H.G. Lewis (1973). “On the Interaction between the Quantity and Quality of Children.” Journal of Political Economy 81(2): S279–S288.
Berthelon, M., D. Krueger, and M. Oyarzún (2015). “The Effects of Longer School Days on Mothers Labor Force Participation.” IZA Working Paper No. 9212.
Blagrave, P. and M. Santoro (2017). “Labor Force Participation in Chile: Recent Trends, Drivers, and Prospects.” IMF Working Paper 17/54.
Blank, R. (1996). “Why Has Economic Growth Been such an Effective Tool against Poverty in Recent Years?” In Poverty and Inequality, the Political Economy of Redistribution, edited by J. Neill. Kalamazoo: W.E. Upjohn Institute.
Blank, R. (2000). “Fighting Poverty: Lessons from Recent U.S. History.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 14(2): 3–19.
Blank, R. and A. Blinder (1987). “Poverty and the Macroeconomy.” In Challenging Poverty: What Works and What Doesn’t, edited by S. Danziger and D. Weinberg. Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press.
Blank, R. and D. Card (1993). “Poverty, Income Distribution, and Growth: Are they Still Connected?” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2: 285–339.
Bosworth, B., R. Dornbush, and R. Labán (1994). The Chilean Economy: Policy Lessons and Challenges. Brookings Institution.
Braun, M. and B. Larraín (2005). “Finance and the Business Cycle: International, Inter-Industry Evidence.” Journal of Finance 60(3): 1097–128.
Bravo, J. and F. Larraín (2017). “Efectos del Crecimiento Económico sobre el Empleo y su Composición en Chile.” Working Paper No. 32. CLAPES-UC.
Buera, F. and P. Kaboski (2012). “The Rise of the Service Economy.” American Economic Review 102(6): 2540–69.
Contreras, D., L. de Mello, and E. Puentes (2008). “Encouraging Labor Force Participation in Chile.” OECD Working Paper No. 608.
Contreras, D., E. Puentes, and D. Bravo (2005). “Female Labour Force Participation in Greater Santiago, Chile: 1957-1997. A Synthetic Cohort Analysis.” Journal of International Development 17(2): 169–86.
Contreras, D., E. Puentes, and D. Bravo (2012). “Female Labor Supply and Child Care Supply in Chile.” Working Paper No. 370, Universidad de Chile.
Contreras D. and P. Sepúlveda (2016). “Effect of Lengthening the School Day on Mother’s Labor Supply.” Policy Research Working Paper Series 7599, The World Bank.
Corbo, V., R. Lüders, and P. Spiller (1997). “The Foundations of Successful Economic Reforms: The Case of Chile.” Mimeo, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile.
Cutler, D. and W. Katz (1991). “Macroeconomic Performance and the Disadvantaged.” Brookings Papers on Economic Activity 2: 1–74.
De Gregorio, J. (2009). “Chile and the Global Recession of 2009.” Economic Policy Papers No. 30, Central Bank of Chile.
Ffrench-Davis, R. (2002). “El Impacto de las Exportaciones sobre el Crecimiento en Chile.” Revista CEPAL 76: 143–60.
Fornero, J. and M. Kirchner (2014). “Learning about Commodity Cycles and Saving-Investment Dynamics in a Commodity-Exporting Economy.” Working Paper No. 727, Central Bank of Chile.
Gallego, F. and N. Loayza (2002). “The Golden Period for Growth in Chile: Explanations and Forecasts.” In Economic Growth: Sources, Trends, and Cycles, edited by N. Loayza and R. Soto. Central Bank of Chile.
Galor, O. and D.N. Weil (1996). “The Gender Gap, Fertility, and Growth.” American Economic Review 86(3): 374–87.
Goldin, C. (1990). Understanding the Gender Gap: An Economic History of American Women. NBER Series on Long-term Factors in Economic Development.
Greenwood, J., A. Seshadri, and G. Vandenbroucke (2005a). “The Baby Boom and Baby Boost.” American Economic Review 95(1): 183–207.
Greenwood, J., A. Seshadri, and M. Yorukoglu (2005b). “Engines of Liberation.” Review of Economic Studies 72(1): 109–33.
Haveman, R. and J. Schwabish (2000). “Has Macroeconomic Performance Regained its Anti-Poverty Bite?” Contemporary Economic Policy 18(4): 415–27.
International Monetary Fund (2015). IMF Country Report No. 15/227. Chile: 2015 Article IV Consultation - Press Release; and Staff Report. Washington, D.C.: IMF.
Jones, L.E., R.E. Manuelli, and E.R. McGrattan (2015). “Why Are Married Women Working so Much?” Journal of Demographic Economics 81(1): 75–114.
Ngai, L. R. and B. Petrongolo (2017). “Gender Gaps and the Rise of the Service Economy.” American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics 9(4): 1–44.
OECD (2016). Regulatory Policy in Chile: Government Capacity to Ensure High-Quality Regulation. Paris: OECD Publishing.
Parro, Fco. (2012). “International Evidence on the Gender Gap in Education over the Past Six Decades: A Puzzle and an Answer to It.” Journal of Human Capital 6(2): 150–185.
Perry, G. and D. Leipziger (1999). Chile: Recent Policy Lessons and Emerging Challenges, The World Bank.
Romer, P. (2000). “Poverty and Macroeconomic Activity.” Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City Economic Review (first quarter): 1–13.
Solimano, A. (1999). “The Chilean Economy in the 1990s: On a ‘Golden Age’ and Beyond.” After Neoliberalism: What Next for Latin America? edited by L. Taylor. Chicago, IL: University of Michigan Press.
Stallings, B. (1998). Impact of the Asian Crisis on Latin America. ECLAC.
Stevenson, B. and J. Wolfers (2007). “Marriage and Divorce: Changes and their Driving Forces.” Journal of Economic Perspectives 21(2): 27–52.
Szederkenyi, F. and R. Vergara (2017). “Evolución del Empleo en Chile: Asalariados y Cuenta Propia.” Puntos de Referencia No. 457, Centro de Estudios Públicos.
Authors
Copyright (c) 2019 Francisco Parro , Loreto Reyes R.

This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Copyright / Open Access Policy: This journal provides immediate free open access to its content on the principle that making research freely available to the public supports a greater global exchange of ideas and is distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY).
The copyright will be retained by the authors. Articles are free for personal use but are protected by copyright in the sense that they may not be used for purposes other than personal use without the permission of the author.